TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fd7…cb0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$827.96
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$72
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$440.88
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$254.12
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$601
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$119.25
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.69
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.36
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.86
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.78
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.78
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$152.52
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.92
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.62
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.84
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.84
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.34
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Blue Jays vs. Cardinalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Braves vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Kentuckybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.06
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.06
Robert Morris vs. Alabamabacked Robert Morris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked UC San Diego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.22
Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $2 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will egg prices be between $4.75 and $5.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 7 and July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.