NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c9e813dc3e136451b6c772036e4292763ec6422191e1bcc5167b248a5f26ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Pistons, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 24c | 52,686$12,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,501.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 32c | 47,556$15,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,431.29 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Mavericks | 68c | 42,828$29,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,692.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 35c | 29,527$10,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,212.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Mavericks | 61c | 29,013$17,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,181.86 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Mavericks | 76c | 23,215$17,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons | 36c | 10,000$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 40c | 9,062$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.05 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pistons | 36c | 5,403$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons | 79c | 5,065$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 24c | 5,050$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pistons | 70c | 5,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.97 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Pistons | 58c | 3,994$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.75 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks | 22c | 3,935$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.88 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,654$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Mavericks | 61c | 3,280$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons | 44c | 3,199$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.02 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 41c | 3,125$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 33c | 2,780$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 74c | 2,707$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.84 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons | 36c | 2,349$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.91 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mavericks | 45c | 2,230$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.43 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pistons | 21c | 2,125$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 76c | 2,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.81 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 35c | 1,980$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.99 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pistons | 59c | 1,855$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.51 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,841$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.61 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks | 21c | 1,694$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.2 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Pistons | 70c | 1,585$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.23 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pistons | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pistons | 14c | 1,364$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Pistons | 78c | 1,341$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Mavericks | 76c | 1,320$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 75c | 1,303$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons | 22c | 1,149$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.58 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pistons | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pistons | 28c | 956.54$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.62 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks | 22c | 873.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.03 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 25c | 815$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Mavericks | 45c | 792.21$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.22 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Pistons | 71c | 745.98$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.87 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 23c | 700$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…3af5backed Pistons | 70c | 687.27$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 74c | 678.68$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 78c | 670$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks | 23c | 664$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.92 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Pistons | 11c | 640$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Pistons | 23c | 605$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Mavericks | 71c | 561.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Mavericks | 25c | 500.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 43c | 470.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 57c | 448.22$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Mavericks | 24c | 434.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Mavericks | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Mavericks | 60c | 414.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Pistons | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pistons | 54c | 399.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Mavericks | 24c | 399.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.47 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pistons | 58c | 398.28$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Pistons | 59c | 387.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Pistons | 79c | 379.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Mavericks | 46c | 376.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons | 28c | 363.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pistons | 77c | 326.62$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pistons | 77c | 320$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…bacabacked Mavericks | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pistons | 17c | 311.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mavericks | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Mavericks | 23c | 298.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pistons | 65c | 287.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 28c | 275.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…c705backed Mavericks | 77c | 275.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Mavericks | 25c | 263.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Mavericks | 54c | 261.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 24c | 261$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Pistons | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pistons | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed Pistons | 77c | 253.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…fde9backed Pistons | 77c | 253.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pistons | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Pistons | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Mavericks | 55c | 242.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Pistons | 77c | 241.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Pistons | 42c | 240.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Pistons | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…cc42backed Mavericks | 25c | 216.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.