TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Yankees, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Yankees63c118,322$74,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,542.3535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Red Sox37c113,184$41,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,306.1711746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Red Sox37c38,397$14,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,214.1916643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees62c12,766$7,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,964.271,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Yankees45c10,250$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.2719650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees63c6,008$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.891,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees63c4,951$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1402,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox40c4,903$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.3786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees63c4,761$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.431,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees63c4,724$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.1226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52098149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yankees63c3,388$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.4432754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yankees63c3,384$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.924452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yankees63c2,940$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.8997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox71c2,664$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.399,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees60c2,500$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yankees62c1,738$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.4371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Red Sox37c1,597$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.0826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yankees32c1,337$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.8218236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yankees63c1,200$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked Yankees40c1,133$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.295653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yankees63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Red Sox36c999.95$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9793240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56795850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees56c898$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…2377backed Yankees47c837.73$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3942429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yankees63c800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59de…de22backed Yankees62c799.99$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.995145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees63c794$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.471,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees63c753.63$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Red Sox41c737.46$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.14742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yankees35c717$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Yankees63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees63c623.32$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.11,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yankees63c555.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees40c551.43$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.292,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees62c499.97$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees7c471.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox70c408.39$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox37c376.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yankees29c339.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.248530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees59c337.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yankees62c318.26$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3212650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Yankees65c309.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees65c308.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yankees33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Yankees40c301.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees8c296.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.355053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees11c256.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yankees63c233.43$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Yankees63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox35c175.14$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.845,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Yankees38c161.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.620343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yankees29c161.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Red Sox37c133$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.791,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Red Sox79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5824751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yankees59c125.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox38c123$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.262,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yankees64c118.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.419742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees34c113.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.574,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yankees64c112$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1223545.5%107 W · 128 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Red Sox37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1119053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Red Sox36c105.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5840352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Yankees63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…5f22backed Yankees64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Yankees63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yankees51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed Yankees63c87.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.982128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Yankees63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Yankees63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7295…fc62backed Yankees63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Yankees65c78.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.841118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yankees32c77.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees26c76.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Yankees63c62.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Yankees64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yankees38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yankees40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yankees63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yankees49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e5…72ddbacked Yankees25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Yankees65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02fc…ddc6backed Yankees64c39.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yankees65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513260.6%80 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Yankees65c35.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3725952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yankees56c35.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x025f…c1cfbacked Yankees63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Yankees63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207245.8%33 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.