TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeac7…fec6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT9150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$194.4
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.47
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.02
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.36
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.2
Twins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24.96
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$22.56
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.95
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$20.16
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$288
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.63
Rockies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$69
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$39.4
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$57.6
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$44
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.4
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT5862.1%36 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.08
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.47
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.52
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.99
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.8
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.6
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$57
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.33
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+62%+$107.71
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.79
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.97
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$7.36
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$30.82
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$10.84
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$9.7
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$27.6
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$13.15
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.72
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$18.72
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.3
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$15.6
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
UConn vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Georgia vs. Gonzagabacked Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.8
Xavier vs. Texasbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$63.65
North Carolina vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Wisconsin vs. Michiganbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tennessee vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$23.1
Alabama vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$10.86
Princeton vs. Yalebacked Yale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$79.2
Arizona vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Purdue vs. Michiganbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.62
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.49
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$14.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.