TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary's

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Mary'sof Vanderbilt, St. Mary's
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$446,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47bc…c043backed Vanderbilt38c29,560$11,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,278.512634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed St. Mary's54c15,031$8,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,942.6818850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed St. Mary's66c9,491$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.478644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed St. Mary's67c6,389$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed St. Mary's57c5,761$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.234134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Vanderbilt0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…21debacked Vanderbilt36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Vanderbilt76c5,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8004761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked St. Mary's36c4,589$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.645054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Vanderbilt43c4,264$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.097912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed St. Mary's65c4,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.999641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61f…7cb5backed Vanderbilt35c3,797$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Vanderbilt34c3,780$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.169833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Vanderbilt49c3,751$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.7910335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed St. Mary's64c3,610$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.5842948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Vanderbilt33c3,518$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.93351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked St. Mary's50c3,432$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.094052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed St. Mary's66c3,053$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.241957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…f85abacked Vanderbilt35c2,903$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed St. Mary's65c2,898$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.755527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Vanderbilt35c2,887$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Vanderbilt35c2,820$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.0516053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Vanderbilt65c2,739$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff1…9145backed Vanderbilt71c2,599$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed St. Mary's56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Vanderbilt39c2,423$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.44932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe2…6b49backed St. Mary's65c2,274$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed St. Mary's70c2,262$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-52.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked St. Mary's47c2,242$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4c…61acbacked St. Mary's65c2,227$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a13…7fcbbacked St. Mary's65c2,198$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked St. Mary's64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Vanderbilt36c1,998$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Vanderbilt60c1,953$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.825043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Vanderbilt80c1,837$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Mary's49c1,739$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed St. Mary's64c1,525$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Vanderbilt36c1,525$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5491216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-65.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed St. Mary's66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…005dbacked St. Mary's37c1,402$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.8540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed St. Mary's22c1,367$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+135.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked St. Mary's43c1,292$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.864632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked St. Mary's66c1,246$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.587237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked St. Mary's65c1,187$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed St. Mary's35c1,135$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.382040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Vanderbilt56c1,120$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.391735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked St. Mary's65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3318…ea60backed Vanderbilt36c778.13$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0417…a81ebacked St. Mary's64c778.13$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd99…df91backed Vanderbilt72c734.45$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Vanderbilt61c699.66$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74c6…7285backed Vanderbilt72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed St. Mary's62c693.64$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.588138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed St. Mary's42c688.22$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Vanderbilt15c682.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed St. Mary's46c678.64$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed St. Mary's65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Vanderbilt24c599.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e22…5bfbbacked St. Mary's76c560.64$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed St. Mary's63c526.43$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.57936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Vanderbilt34c514.22$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.116842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt39c473.86$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.853057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed St. Mary's70c400.1$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.031560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e7…4420backed Vanderbilt63c389.6$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Vanderbilt37c377.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked St. Mary's55c368$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked Vanderbilt57c359.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Vanderbilt34c352.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0215851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt34c331.52$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.421,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Vanderbilt38c328.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked St. Mary's41c317.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.562934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked St. Mary's70c307.53$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.82250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Vanderbilt74c302.76$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Vanderbilt35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed St. Mary's65c289$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.154542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Vanderbilt35c285.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.094035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Vanderbilt36c277.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Vanderbilt37c270.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.018151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa826…f823backed St. Mary's37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+175.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Vanderbilt36c270$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked St. Mary's31c260$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.414021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Vanderbilt33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed St. Mary's75c210.87$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.992580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Vanderbilt35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Vanderbilt38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked St. Mary's64c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.324254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f73…ced3backed Vanderbilt47c180$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.42060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Vanderbilt35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed St. Mary's65c160$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.43053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef41…5080backed St. Mary's48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed St. Mary's64c155.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.949639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed St. Mary's65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked St. Mary's65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed St. Mary's66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Vanderbilt30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Vanderbilt61c132.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.53650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Vanderbilt35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x046a…0701backed St. Mary's78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…e5e9backed Vanderbilt36c122.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…95fbbacked Vanderbilt76c110.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.