TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7552…320d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,124.59
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,296.18
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.36
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100
Diamondbacks vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,185Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,716.88
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,194.12
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,176Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,641.31
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,180.75
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,636.58
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$960
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.34
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,005
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$40.8
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.27
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.56
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.24
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$27.6
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.24
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160
Red Sox vs. Bravesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$618.03
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$29.11
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$453.75
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$739.99
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$270
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,238.76
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$720
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$720
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$503.99
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$730
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$495
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$795
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Hurricanes vs. Kingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,938Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$10,110.92
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Anyone's Legendbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,509.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.