MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. Phillies

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a54bc3a9e6e3113abb4a6d2646cb7e1ed0c5dd3613ead500c797517537244d1

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philliesof Royals, Phillies
Resolved: Sep 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $548,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $582,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,535 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7435…a620backed Phillies	58c	217,290$125,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92,289.58	286	46.5%133 W · 153 L	-15.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals	42c	147,724$62,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,043.98	380	43.4%165 W · 215 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Phillies	58c	39,828$23,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,728.23	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies	58c	37,203$21,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,795.57	482	54.4%262 W · 220 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals	42c	36,999$15,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,539.48	439	49.4%217 W · 222 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Royals	43c	31,500$13,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,545	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Royals	42c	28,283$12,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,001.01	784	45.3%355 W · 429 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Royals	44c	22,494$9,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,897.36	389	49.1%191 W · 198 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Phillies	57c	18,528$10,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,949.66	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies	57c	18,263$10,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,853.3	263	55.5%146 W · 117 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Royals	42c	17,840$7,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,492.8	1,591	50.3%801 W · 790 L	+68.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Royals	43c	15,111$6,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,497.73	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals	41c	11,917$4,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,886.83	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Royals	24c	10,799$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	113	45.1%51 W · 62 L	-16.4wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies	68c	9,622$6,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,078.61	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Royals	44c	6,870$3,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,022.97	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies	56c	6,023$3,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650.17	269	49.4%133 W · 136 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Phillies	58c	5,277$3,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,216.29	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Royals	43c	5,021$2,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.03	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Royals	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	564	51.1%288 W · 276 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals	43c	4,866$2,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,092.91	631	52.6%332 W · 299 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Phillies	58c	4,488$2,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,885.14	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+6.2wins	+0.30per pick	47cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Royals	44c	4,431$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.64	91	35.2%32 W · 59 L	-12.0wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Royals	44c	4,089$1,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.38	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Royals	44c	3,986$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals	43c	3,933$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,688.89	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Phillies	57c	3,817$2,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,641.31	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Royals	43c	3,720$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.59	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Royals	43c	3,288$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.95	163	47.9%78 W · 85 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Royals	41c	2,744$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.89	531	50.5%268 W · 263 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies	62c	2,702$1,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.01	255	51%130 W · 125 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies	57c	2,672$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,148.43	2,274	43.2%983 W · 1,291 L	+43.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Royals	44c	2,593$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.22	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Royals	44c	2,390$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.5	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-5.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Royals	44c	2,318$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.06	119	47.9%57 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Royals	49c	2,267$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111	241	54.4%131 W · 110 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Royals	44c	2,110$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.33	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Royals	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	387	51.9%201 W · 186 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Royals	44c	1,991$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.1	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals	45c	1,865$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.68	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Royals	44c	1,849$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.56	207	47.8%99 W · 108 L	-11.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…59e4backed Phillies	57c	1,726$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.18	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals	43c	1,613$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.78	1,097	50.1%550 W · 547 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies	57c	1,589$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.2	1,132	48.9%553 W · 579 L	-16.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Royals	42c	1,500$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	731	49.4%361 W · 370 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Royals	33c	1,354$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.74	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Royals	43c	1,334$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.61	508	43.3%220 W · 288 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Royals	44c	1,225$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Phillies	58c	1,200$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Phillies	56c	1,200$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528	301	51.5%155 W · 146 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Royals	43c	1,196$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.09	208	50%104 W · 104 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Royals	28c	1,190$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.46	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Royals	41c	1,103$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.87	764	56%428 W · 336 L	+32.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Royals	42c	1,060$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.12	513	47%241 W · 272 L	+32.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8613…59f0backed Phillies	57c	1,053$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.63	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4662…b73abacked Phillies	57c	1,018$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.54	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	65cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Royals	43c	1,006$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Phillies	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Royals	43c	970.98$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.52	124	36.3%45 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Royals	53c	953$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.09	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals	42c	949.38$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.78	687	69.6%478 W · 209 L	+60.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Royals	43c	931$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.33	170	45.3%77 W · 93 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Royals	44c	909$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.96	1,293	46.6%603 W · 690 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Phillies	57c	800$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies	55c	800$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	133	59.4%79 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Royals	42c	800$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	326	51.5%168 W · 158 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Royals	43c	773.98$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.81	444	43%191 W · 253 L	+21.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Royals	43c	751.07$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.96	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Phillies	52c	750.64$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.49	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Royals	43c	728.14$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.1	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Royals	43c	723.99$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.56	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Royals	43c	711.09$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.77	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Royals	44c	681.16$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.71	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…f49bbacked Phillies	57c	615.39$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.62	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x008a…3dd5backed Royals	44c	615.18$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Royals	42c	600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	240	40.8%98 W · 142 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Royals	44c	599.92$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.97	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Royals	44c	595$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.8	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Royals	44c	576.41$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.62	1,078	46.3%499 W · 579 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x029b…1f75backed Phillies	57c	564.88$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.9	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.8wins	+0.20per pick	54cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Royals	44c	564.68$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.46	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Royals	25c	546.8$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.17	331	37.5%124 W · 207 L	-17.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed Phillies	57c	530.99$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.33	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals	44c	522.48$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.89	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Royals	44c	502.84$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.25	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Royals	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	959	30%288 W · 671 L	-24.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Royals	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	197	47.2%93 W · 104 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Royals	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Royals	43c	499.97$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.99	1,360	44.3%602 W · 758 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Royals	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	563	51%287 W · 276 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Royals	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Royals	47c	426.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	260	55%143 W · 117 L	+21.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Royals	26c	402.23$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.7	600	52.2%313 W · 287 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc8…9073backed Phillies	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Royals	42c	350$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Phillies	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Royals	44c	340.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	809	55.5%449 W · 360 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a11…abe7backed Royals	44c	322.66$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Royals vs. Philliesthis page
NRFI: Royals vs. PhilliesNo won
Royals vs. Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Phillies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Royals vs. Phillies

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event