MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa21ad5676a87173c0b27b931ec6dea6e6ccb1bdef4ddba9e16d76f87080c5ce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Rockies, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 23c | 48,225$10,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,938.18 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 13c | 28,697$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 78c | 19,797$15,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.27 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…1c41backed Rockies | 22c | 9,999$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…8ed0backed Mets | 78c | 9,995$7,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…1f21backed Rockies | 22c | 9,995$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…6c86backed Mets | 78c | 9,995$7,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 23c | 8,195$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mets | 76c | 5,974$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.68 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Rockies | 1c | 4,575$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies | 22c | 4,015$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.3 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 15c | 3,991$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 78c | 3,812$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mets | 77c | 1,800$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mets | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…1c51backed Mets | 77c | 1,364$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.34 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 23c | 1,359$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.67 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 4c | 1,001$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 23c | 970.37$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockies | 1c | 886.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 16c | 875.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 75c | 815.71$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.87 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 77c | 777$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 24c | 748.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets | 78c | 740$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked Mets | 76c | 582.13$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Mets | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rockies | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…8ca3backed Rockies | 15c | 277.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Mets | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…bc71backed Mets | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Mets | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 17c | 248.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Rockies | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 22c | 144.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 77c | 144.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…ceaabacked Mets | 78c | 144$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…44a1backed Rockies | 22c | 144$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies | 14c | 132.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Mets | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mets | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Mets | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 23c | 125.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rockies | 23c | 106.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Mets | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Mets | 78c | 101.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mets | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 77c | 94.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Mets | 75c | 66.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Rockies | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Mets | 76c | 50.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rockies | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mets | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Rockies | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…afb4backed Mets | 77c | 36.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mets | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mets | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…2367backed Mets | 78c | 30.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…540ebacked Mets | 75c | 26.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…b6f8backed Mets | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Mets | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…696dbacked Mets | 78c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…7b4ebacked Mets | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.