TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f5b…6759

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+314.9%+$303.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.13
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+189.8%+$26.08
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$159.9
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+63.3%+$38.77
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.79
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$95
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+235.6%+$70.2
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.9
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$152
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will a candidate say "Crime" 10+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$50.53
Will a candidate say "Hamas" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.2
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Trump tariffs on Mexico in effect by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
US out of WHO by Trump's first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$183
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+60.5%+$37.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Raiders vs. Cardinals backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Eagles vs. Jets backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Patriots vs. Giants backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$164.5
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$91.97
Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.97
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$41
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$39
Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$88
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$64
Bengals vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+25%+$26
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$47.05
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.4
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$120
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.5
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.02
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$143.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.19
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will PNP (People’s National Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$365.5
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$200
Will Trudeau resign Today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+185.7%+$226.01
Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+127.3%+$56
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.83
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+456.8%+$836.8
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.55
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56.04
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+39.5%+$17
Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+81.5%+$44.9
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross more than $38m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$73
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$124
Will Zelensky say "Russia" 10 or more times during his UN address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+33.6%+$25.15
Will Zelensky say "money" 5 or more times during his UN address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
Will Zelensky say "HIMARS" during his UN address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
Will Zelensky say "nuclear" during his UN address?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$61
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$287
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.44
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+270.4%+$109.5
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+51.6%+$34.03
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+92%+$130.61
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+158.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Wingsbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Sky vs Libertybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$222.5
WNBA: Lynx vs. Mercury Game 2backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+27.1%+$49.1
WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2backed Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+25.6%+$43.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
70°F in NYC in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$153
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.