Us Politics · resolved market
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063ec58c79514c00d58a00887871362c81ebb875d3f4c721c14c351cc080131b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0bf…6f28backed No | 22c | 100,000$22,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7656backed Yes | 78c | 100,000$77,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…a074backed Yes | 80c | 79,029$63,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,884.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…06f0backed No | 20c | 79,029$15,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,884.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 1c | 14,869$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 41c | 10,731$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.68 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 3c | 6,700$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.98 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 49c | 6,658$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.16 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 74c | 6,635$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.42 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 11c | 5,236$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.9 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 25c | 4,086$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.45 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 5c | 3,654$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.58 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…b8d3backed Yes | 10c | 3,439$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 12c | 3,205$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 47c | 3,195$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.96 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 63c | 3,132$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.28 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 47c | 3,082$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…e1edbacked Yes | 78c | 3,023$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 47c | 2,788$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 42c | 2,642$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 62c | 2,517$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.96 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ef1backed No | 57c | 2,516$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 46c | 2,363$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a1c5backed Yes | 14c | 2,301$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 44c | 2,100$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.3 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 61c | 1,732$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 61c | 1,630$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.79 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,564$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.33 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Yes | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 25c | 1,516$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 23c | 1,497$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 39c | 1,338$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.74 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 72c | 1,321$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.02 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 59c | 1,214$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.91 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 15c | 1,153$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 24c | 1,095$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.47 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 54c | 1,056$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.69 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…4df9backed Yes | 55c | 1,045$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 1,014$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.57 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…e932backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 14c | 999.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 38c | 995.74$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.39 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 32c | 964.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 50c | 934.7$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933e…84d0backed Yes | 39c | 925.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 71c | 900$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed Yes | 31c | 869.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 59c | 814.25$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked No | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 41c | 787.23$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 66c | 782$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 79c | 764.63$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.85 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0d0ebacked Yes | 3c | 719.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,496.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a7c4backed Yes | 35c | 704.29$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 56c | 700.92$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.83 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 57c | 700$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…6ae6backed Yes | 66c | 695.65$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 41c | 675.68$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 56c | 671.24$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.72 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…28e2backed Yes | 31c | 663.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 45c | 661.9$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 62c | 639.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 35c | 597$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 31c | 579$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 52c | 572.9$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 73c | 571.58$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed No | 23c | 564.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…b945backed Yes | 39c | 546.66$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 40c | 535.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.25 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…6d4ebacked No | 28c | 533.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 20c | 528.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 23c | 501$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2df…d9c8backed No | 61c | 495.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 26c | 489.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed No | 2c | 488$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 21c | 449.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 35c | 447.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 446.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Yes | 23c | 431.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…45cfbacked Yes | 40c | 425.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 38c | 419.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 58c | 411.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 72c | 408$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…e2d6backed No | 68c | 404$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 25c | 394.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed No | 47c | 394.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…04a5backed Yes | 3c | 390$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +320.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 49c | 382.25$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 56c | 375.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 77c | 354.79$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…c31fbacked Yes | 49c | 338.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 51c | 324.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 78c | 319.36$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 27c | 317.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 49c | 311.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 33c | 307.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…2c64backed Yes | 52c | 302.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 42c | 301.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? this page
- Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Betsy DeVos be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration? No won
- Will Doug Burgum be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
- Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
- Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration? No won
- Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? No won
- Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?Yes won
- Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
- Will Matt Gaetz be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? No won
- Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
- Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration? No won
- Will Sarah Palin be a member of the Trump administration?No won
- Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration?Yes won
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.