Us Politics · resolved market

Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4e36275cfa58f7741cef778334f38a6f89ef3aa2f01578965078607e48582c8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $390,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $528,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,530 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32cf…b8d3backed No	5c	42,119$2,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,102.38	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	27cpaid	+124%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2c…70cfbacked No	2c	18,094$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…b114backed No	6c	6,830$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-58%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked No	6c	4,690$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.81	124	4.8%6 W · 118 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No	1c	4,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	284	7.7%22 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	21c	3,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.85	355	19.7%70 W · 285 L	-16.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked No	9c	2,755$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.05	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked No	1c	2,484$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	240	0%0 W · 240 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	13c	2,203$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.34	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	+18.3wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+86.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa0e6…50aebacked No	12c	2,083$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.96	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+108%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked No	1c	2,016$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	189	14.3%27 W · 162 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c0…7bd8backed No	13c	1,925$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.44	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed No	16c	1,782$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.76	283	20.5%58 W · 225 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes	79c	1,680$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.54	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	2c	1,671$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.36	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab60…b46cbacked No	16c	1,520$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.16	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…2f22backed No	36c	1,137$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.99	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.17per pick	31cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8785…b446backed No	5c	1,126$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034f…f8b4backed No	15c	1,014$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.73	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9536…63f8backed No	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3814…588dbacked No	53c	886.13$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	43c	848$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.82	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2252…f7f4backed No	2c	828.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed No	40c	821.99$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.3	125	31.2%39 W · 86 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No	10c	776.58$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.43	210	22.4%47 W · 163 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf313…ebf7backed Yes	67c	743.6$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c11…6f22backed No	46c	673.54$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes	64c	657.26$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.18	135	25.9%35 W · 100 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked No	33c	640$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.8	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	56c	630.28$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.28	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6e…5727backed Yes	79c	630.06$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.43	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18ba…d0c6backed No	57c	607$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+88.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef0…591fbacked No	17c	592.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf41…1587backed No	23c	571.27$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.48	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88e4…8f34backed No	2c	505.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+142.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569e…67dbbacked No	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc54…680fbacked No	26c	484.83$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.84	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+66.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9916…a2b2backed Yes	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No	15c	385.64$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.32	303	19.1%58 W · 245 L	-20.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2420…ce7fbacked Yes	50c	382.73$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-4.7wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7d31…cb04backed No	44c	375$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ec…4612backed No	14c	350$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	78c	240.06$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.32	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2880…fa70backed No	43c	230.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5714…c680backed Yes	49c	220$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.2	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.28per pick	58cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c6…00a2backed Yes	49c	205.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.1	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0842…0f97backed No	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No	5c	197.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	177	13%23 W · 154 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	61c	181.5$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.82	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf3…87b3backed No	33c	165$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.49	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No	59c	160.46$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.8	135	37.8%51 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1013…45cfbacked Yes	50c	158.77$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	20	35%7 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a97…0fc7backed No	33c	140$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2378…a059backed Yes	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-5.3wins	-0.24per pick	70cpaid	-36%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3185…7c83backed Yes	71c	135.61$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.01	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Yes	53c	130.69$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.64	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	64c	125.65$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.16	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7c…b146backed No	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…dcadbacked No	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6264…9937backed Yes	77c	105$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.15	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x941c…5a35backed Yes	39c	102.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49cb…8c3abacked No	15c	100.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…ea5dbacked Yes	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed No	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38cd…a557backed No	41c	94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45f8…6ea2backed No	58c	90$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	35cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea6…a363backed Yes	53c	85.2$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	24c	75.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c9…09d9backed Yes	42c	71.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…1ddebacked Yes	41c	61.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.92	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…e210backed Yes	50c	60.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes	52c	56.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.02	286	36.7%105 W · 181 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed No	54c	55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…b10abacked Yes	54c	51.95$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-32%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No	35c	50.05$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…94d1backed Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe367…f235backed No	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…c243backed Yes	67c	49.42$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.31	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x933b…22f7backed Yes	54c	46.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.71	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d84…61e2backed No	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Yes	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1c…f530backed Yes	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbb…2206backed No	64c	36.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb559…5e7cbacked No	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f9…76bbbacked No	66c	22.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ef…239ebacked Yes	47c	22.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Yes	54c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd8…372bbacked Yes	62c	17.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.68	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration? this page
Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Bernie Sanders be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Betsy DeVos be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
Will Donald Trump Jr. be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Will Doug Burgum be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
Will Ivanka Trump be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?Yes won
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Matt Gaetz be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? Yes won
Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Will Sarah Palin be a member of the Trump administration?No won
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? No won
Will Tulsi Gabbard be a member of the Trump administration?Yes won
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event