TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3978…2f24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
615
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Movies, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST9944.4%44 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.77
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.3%+$14.26
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.63
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$5.73
Trump approval >45% on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.63
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+93.5%+$21.75
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$13.01
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$3.74
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+158.3%+$20.37
Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+173%+$19.09
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Will a candidate say "Subway" 5+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$15.75
Will a candidate say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+130.7%+$16.15
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$31.44
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+138.5%+$14.26
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.83
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST7546.7%35 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+237.1%+$30.91
Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+308%+$36.95
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.85
Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
Will Anthony Richardson start Week 1 for the Colts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+169%+$29.1
Will Tyler Shough start Week 1 for the Saints?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+123.9%+$21.64
Travis Hunter and GF break up before Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$8.46
Will the Browns draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+155.5%+$18.26
Will the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will the Giants draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$25.9
Will the Jaguars draft Mason Graham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$6.87
Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.95
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.26
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$14.38
Will the Titans draft a Quarterback?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.85
Will the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+57.5%+$10.95
Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+27%+$3.62
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.78
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.15
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT4240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Finals: Will any player record a triple double?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+99%+$14.99
Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$9.06
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.77
Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.13
Kings vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+160.9%+$18.5
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Lonzo Ball stay with the Chicago Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+174.7%+$24.39
Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+363.7%+$54.11
Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Phoenix Suns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+96.9%+$19.68
Will Jimmy Butler get traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.77
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+125.6%+$16.7
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.01
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+157.3%+$18.15
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.18
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+167.2%+$22.61
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$10.91
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$11.12
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$11.66
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+133.6%+$14.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+151.6%+$16.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on August 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on August 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$3.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+117%+$11.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$6.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$3.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65–66°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76–77°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+324.3%+$34.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62–63°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+186%+$21.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75–76°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60–61°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+200.2%+$21.17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62–63°F on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$13.35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80–81°F on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$15.51
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST3868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Movies — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Free Bert" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+48.4%+$4.89
"Alien: Earth" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+128.4%+$19.68
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+118.3%+$16.26
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$20.38
Will 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 79?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 69?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$4.6
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross less than $25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will 'Star Wars III' gross more than $25m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+147.9%+$15.33
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+86.2%+$33
Will 'September 5' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+33.7%+$10.08
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+42.4%+$9.53
Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+34.8%+$7.75
Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+109.9%+$48.76
Will Nicole Kidman win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Will 'El Mal' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+118.6%+$16.27
Will 'Mi Camino' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+25.4%+$8.1
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+79.3%+$18.82
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+98.1%+$34.77
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+254.4%+$28.11
Will Ariana Grande win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will 'Nosferatu' gross over $30m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+104.1%+$18.43
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST3638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$92.4
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$8.85
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.95
Jumper airdrop in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$155.97
Rainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+209.7%+$40.59
Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+102.3%+$28.02
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.56
Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$8.29
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.36
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
Will Berachain launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.49
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.29
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$213.01
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+39.2%+$4.53
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$13.97
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+215.9%+$22.88
Will Coinbase announce Peanut the Squirrel as next listing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$64.74
Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$74.62
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$21.96
Will $cult launch in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$22.46
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
Will USC make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Kansas State make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.19
Will BYU make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.24
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+175.1%+$43.87
Will Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.87
Will Virginia Tech make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Will Clemson make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.09
Will South Carolina make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.59
Will Iowa State make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Georgia Tech make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.95
Will Minnesota make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+343.3%+$34.85
Will Oregon make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.59
Will Texas win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42.56
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+46.3%+$6.33
Will Ole Miss beat Duke by 15 or more points?backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+94.2%+$9.7
Will Arizona State make the CFP National Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+38.5%+$5.56
Will Louisville win the Sun Bowl?backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Missouri beat Iowa by 3 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.2
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+57.9%+$6.84
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$11.59
The CFP Favorites Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$21.38
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+73.9%+$8.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Chelsea FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31%+$7.1
Will Coventry City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will Worthing FC win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$5.82
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$4.34
Will Leicester City be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+43.9%+$6.1
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.13
Todd Boehly removed as Chelsea Chairman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.76
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Newcastle vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+32.2%+$7.3
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+69.5%+$7.61
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+48.1%+$13
Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Brentford vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$7.59
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Nottingham Forest vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+25%+$4
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$6.57
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$8.2
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+135.6%+$53.55
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Lee Jae-myung win Gangwon State (강원특별자치도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$19.02
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+231.1%+$26.42
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.77
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+76.4%+$8.42
Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Katerina Sakellaropoulou be next Greek President?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Will Kostas Karamanlis be next Greek President?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.87
Will Patriotic Union win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.45
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+47.4%+$9.35
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$23.8
Germany confidence vote in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$26.4
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$18.61
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$19.08
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.2%+$3.65
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.15
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.62
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+93.6%+$14.5
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$18.83
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$13
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$13.6
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+180.3%+$42.64
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+66%+$15.9
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+80.1%+$8.17
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+83.9%+$16.61
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.97
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+161.8%+$18.54
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.71
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.57
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$39.18
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$81
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$133.97
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+54.6%+$74.01
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62.44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+207.7%+$67.5
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.96
Will Trump tweet 4+ times by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$21.15
Will Trump tweet 3-4 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$37.71
Will Trump tweet less than 3 times Dec 6-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$48.5
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$45.43
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+134%+$56.61
Will trump tweet 3-4 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$51.26
Will trump tweet 1-2 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+141.3%+$45.45
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$27.2
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$14.62
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$79.22
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times Nov 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$19.68
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 8-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+141.6%+$58.6
Will Trump tweet 90-99 times Nov 1-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+79.4%+$63.22
Will Trump tweet 100-109 times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.44
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.97
Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+165%+$30.59
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.42
Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+39.9%+$14.01
Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.41
Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$16.88
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$43.35
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$14.41
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+49.9%+$14.54
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11.19
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$13.4
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+57.6%+$7.69
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+96.1%+$16.37
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+155.3%+$36.49
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+176.7%+$44.7
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+284.4%+$33.49
Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+220.3%+$34.39
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.04
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.38
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.01
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$10.57
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12.73
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$22.86
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+63.9%+$6.83
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+104.6%+$10.92
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$13.66
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11.33
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+159.6%+$19.46
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$10.02
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$14.05
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+220.6%+$23.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.95
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.53
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+129%+$14.11
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+223.5%+$34.55
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+181.1%+$23.45
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+102.8%+$15.52
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$21.12
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$15.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.82
Will Jacob Wilson win the American League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Jac Caglianone win the American League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.21
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$18.73
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the best regular season record in the MLB?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Juan Soto sign with the New York Mets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$50.04
Will Juan Soto sign with the Yankees?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$16.66
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the National League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+124.7%+$13.88
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.06
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+94.6%+$10.91
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+46%+$4.72
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$6.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+180.4%+$19.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$7.84
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+83.1%+$36.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$33.87
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Soriano vs. Medicbacked Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.9
Mitchell vs. Graciebacked Gracie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+358.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+358.3%+$46.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+110%+$24.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$4.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Connecticut Sun make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.