NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fcfcdb8efec691ae82f184116b25a65d5803c2407fc80ab48c4c4764e339a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Maple Leafs, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,323$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.98 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,531$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 37c | 2,723$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.86 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,932$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,783$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.16 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…bacbbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,472$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,396$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.77 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,276$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Red Wings | 38c | 975.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.61 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…505bbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 975.18$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 790.66$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.36 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Red Wings | 66c | 597.79$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Red Wings | 37c | 594.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.12 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Red Wings | 37c | 555.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 551.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Red Wings | 70c | 484.14$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Red Wings | 63c | 481.28$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed Red Wings | 38c | 390.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 390.67$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 379.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 36c | 374.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 349.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Red Wings | 65c | 290$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 278$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 269.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 266.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 37c | 255$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 15c | 248.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…6422backed Red Wings | 79c | 246.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 37c | 196.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 188.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Red Wings | 36c | 182.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2a40backed Red Wings | 37c | 175.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…c884backed Red Wings | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 160.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…2b10backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…afd3backed Red Wings | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca99…44d9backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 117.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…320dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 114.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Red Wings | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 109.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Red Wings | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 99.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 98.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Red Wings | 38c | 98.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…b59fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 98.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…52d6backed Red Wings | 37c | 94.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…a0c9backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 93.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…a747backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 93.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 91.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…1af7backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…a285backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…f2f3backed Red Wings | 52c | 63.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…9a47backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 56.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 55.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…8ebabacked Red Wings | 38c | 55.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…3219backed Red Wings | 39c | 53.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Red Wings | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Red Wings | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…c71dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 49.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Red Wings | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…cf9bbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 42.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…1338backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 40.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…2d89backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 38.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Red Wings | 37c | 38.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…5a91backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 38.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…3952backed Red Wings | 38c | 38.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…efa9backed Red Wings | 39c | 37.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…23cbbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 36.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2752backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 36.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…930fbacked Red Wings | 36c | 36.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…518fbacked Red Wings | 38c | 36.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…30cbbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 35.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…37e2backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 35.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…01e6backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 35.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…d8d3backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 35.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9e…8545backed Red Wings | 32c | 34.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…2fb0backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…c32ebacked Red Wings | 38c | 34.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb9…fe81backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 34.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…8e6ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 33.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.