TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97a2…9a47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.67
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Predatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+45.6%+$9.13
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$39
Wild vs. Utahbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+187.5%+$84.25
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$15.54
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+104.1%+$45.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Raducanu vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damasbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$11.2
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.26
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$40.8
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallybacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.51
Madrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Martin Dammbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$36.87
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barriosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.26
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.86
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$81.19
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63.63
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+65.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203.8%+$107.64
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.53
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+1,025.5%+$111.99
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$21
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$47.6
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$29.2
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$29.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight end in Round 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$44.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.