TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Cowboys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Bengals, Cowboys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,080,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,035,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,080,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cowboys26c151,958$39,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,566.0620634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e80…59e8backed Bengals68c61,136$41,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,563.542937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Cowboys18c45,766$8,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,087.159732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Bengals70c44,067$31,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,005.4212570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cowboys32c42,668$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.7625137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bengals69c42,282$29,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,987.4214349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Cowboys32c38,932$12,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,462.0227339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Cowboys41c27,098$11,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,204.027041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Bengals67c26,167$17,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,635.1216545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dda…8b1ebacked Bengals69c20,882$14,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,567.821464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Bengals66c20,339$13,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,915.131850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cowboys36c19,339$6,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,994.7714147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Cowboys32c18,600$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,865.923943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Cowboys33c18,120$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.63844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Cowboys21c17,350$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.173116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Bengals70c15,053$10,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.574658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bengals68c13,135$8,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.335848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys37c11,977$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.7760049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys31c11,180$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.7232438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Bengals68c10,544$7,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.779259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Cowboys32c10,313$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.584621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Bengals68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.964746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Cowboys18c8,919$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6006028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e6…5b30backed Bengals68c8,772$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+91.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Cowboys28c8,302$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.065925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Bengals69c8,275$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.429754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cowboys38c8,114$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.8910624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cowboys31c8,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.9624652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…32f5backed Cowboys32c7,860$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4741…6cf0backed Bengals69c7,137$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Cowboys47c6,740$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.8510768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Bengals60c6,659$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.662665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6b…1262backed Bengals68c6,424$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.62157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Cowboys32c6,249$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.775123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Bengals55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.555848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Bengals55c5,324$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.543250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Bengals61c5,200$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0085829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Cowboys27c5,031$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.236246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x856e…3416backed Bengals69c4,884$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.064100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4728…4157backed Cowboys33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Cowboys33c4,244$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.1114445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Cowboys42c4,076$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.874736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cowboys32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2804226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…5124backed Cowboys33c3,504$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.911513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cowboys31c3,491$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.267627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Cowboys31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.239445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bengals65c3,307$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.627655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys28c3,219$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.7844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7037…7ba4backed Cowboys32c3,120$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Cowboys15c3,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44512934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Cowboys22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…3368backed Cowboys26c2,838$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.652020%4 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Bengals61c2,727$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.715038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals58c2,667$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.119864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Cowboys52c2,660$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.766944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Bengals70c2,500$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.6812842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Bengals67c2,465$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.577042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb3…f525backed Cowboys32c2,450$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e7…9a6fbacked Cowboys48c2,264$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.881520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Bengals69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9119361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Cowboys32c2,123$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.281070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Cowboys3c2,103$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Bengals72c2,097$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Cowboys31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62028556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Bengals60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80010334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c7…8371backed Cowboys52c1,905$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8823…4c34backed Cowboys32c1,903$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.592050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Bengals68c1,831$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.92887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Cowboys33c1,809$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5976956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Cowboys32c1,722$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.039645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Bengals60c1,666$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Cowboys6c1,643$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.38218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Bengals68c1,588$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0921454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Cowboys32c1,566$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.116233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Bengals67c1,566$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Cowboys32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007456.8%42 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Cowboys33c1,505$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.253324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Bengals68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9724351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Bengals64c1,499$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6711945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e90…2097backed Cowboys33c1,492$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Cowboys15c1,485$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.777526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bengals69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Cowboys47c1,430$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.33560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Cowboys56c1,368$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.4716259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Cowboys30c1,356$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.091353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Bengals68c1,304$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.132572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc876…1a19backed Cowboys33c1,304$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.971163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239a…76e5backed Bengals69c1,257$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.815457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Bengals68c1,250$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.51625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Bengals69c1,224$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.413260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cowboys16c1,218$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.988339.8%33 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c6…b9adbacked Bengals68c1,200$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Cowboys32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Bengals71c1,190$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.16639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Bengals55c1,185$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.356338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Bengals68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.472466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Cowboys33c1,176$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.052147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f1…b624backed Bengals69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.421330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc31…3624backed Cowboys33c1,061$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Bengals54c1,020$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.