TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc876…1a19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.44
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$189.99
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$25.33
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$69.22
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$70
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$87.7
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$121.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.7
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$133.65
Wild vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.42
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.43
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.22
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$118.32
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$167.92
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$125.72
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$78.23
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2024, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$423.97
Saints vs. Giantsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+47.1%+$135.67
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$473.74
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+37%+$205.75
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+38.9%+$155.76
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$277.78
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$3,263.91
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$543.3
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+47.1%+$96.94
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$396.61
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+53.9%+$412.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$91.25
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.08
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$68.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.54
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$36.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$254.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs 555 (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$100.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Gaziantep FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.