TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Minnesota Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,604 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pittsburgh Pirates0c5,976$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.643929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c4,026$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.4320548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Minnesota Twins59c2,447$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.462657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Minnesota Twins59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9226245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Minnesota Twins58c1,086$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.671,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates42c999.6$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Minnesota Twins59c984.44$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.893246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates42c884.56$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9646547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Minnesota Twins55c796.1$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.253740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Minnesota Twins57c583$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.691770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Minnesota Twins58c568.3$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Minnesota Twins56c535.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6511652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Minnesota Twins58c453.04$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6240846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates45c448.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6635245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c412$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.814544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c401.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.142,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins62c387.18$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.241,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c337.33$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3184049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c312.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1185235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Minnesota Twins58c299$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.582259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Pittsburgh Pirates38c282.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2335137%130 W · 221 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c267.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9168846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Pittsburgh Pirates7c250.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.072722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+85.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates40c240.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.168,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.91,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc876…1a19backed Minnesota Twins59c222.56$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates46c212$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9813442.5%57 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Minnesota Twins58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Minnesota Twins55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c163.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4655541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pittsburgh Pirates40c163$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6310353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e5…ab31backed Minnesota Twins62c160.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Twins56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.477050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.819349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c121$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.612839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates45c119.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7835240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates40c118$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.129241.3%38 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f9…ad71backed Minnesota Twins56c108.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.257149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Pittsburgh Pirates12c104.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins58c103.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1750949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c100.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.169244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Minnesota Twins57c93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c91.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.31,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates44c89.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.972247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates36c87.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.446046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Minnesota Twins59c84.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.465046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Minnesota Twins60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Minnesota Twins58c79.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.315257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Minnesota Twins59c73.42$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Minnesota Twins68c65.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.718154.3%44 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Minnesota Twins57c65.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4740351.4%207 W · 196 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.113752.6%72 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c52.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0739344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c50.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4484122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates47c50.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.641,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Minnesota Twins56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates42c49.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8455847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates42c48.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.522948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Pittsburgh Pirates30c46.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.995041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cdb…9d70backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c45.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Minnesota Twins48c40.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.388350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Pittsburgh Pirates40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1649942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Minnesota Twins58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.813152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…2837backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c39.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Minnesota Twins59c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5825648%123 W · 133 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Minnesota Twins56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.846746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69b…6083backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c34.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Pittsburgh Pirates33c33.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1742241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c33.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5320…6e19backed Minnesota Twins58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Minnesota Twins62c25.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.633256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c24.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Minnesota Twins68c23.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.514251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Minnesota Twins56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2423647%111 W · 125 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.