Euroleague · resolved market
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc97c86a9d971ff2c12305c5479e293237072d90fd32c83009afe38af0fe8288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Sichuan Blue Whales, Zhejiang Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 25,934$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 5,471$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 3,877$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 3,033$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 2,370$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.75 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 2,267$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 2,173$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 2,095$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 1,801$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 1,800$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 13c | 1,593$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…6ad7backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 1,238$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…1a19backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 1,231$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 999.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 862.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 793.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 11c | 738.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 9c | 627.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…5747backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 549.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 534.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 514.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 490.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 417.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 6c | 391.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 390.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 373.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 17c | 315$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 9c | 304.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…7af0backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 291.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 285.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 10c | 284$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 267.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 10c | 254$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 244.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 9c | 242$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…62b2backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 228$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 18c | 225.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 11c | 203$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 6c | 178.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 17c | 177.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 10c | 160.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 150.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 127.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 28c | 86.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Zhejiang Lions | 79c | 47.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.