TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1728…62b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$4.85
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.4
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$12.28
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$12.75
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$12.57
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$41.2
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$14.3
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+113%+$116.19
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$19.27
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$7.79
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$12.77
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$38.25
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$22.92
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$12.36
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$31.4
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$28.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.42
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.37
LoL: 7REX vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$7.49
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.89
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$17.75
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$244.81
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$17.09
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.62
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Ningbo Rockets vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$7.08
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+90%+$24.63
Beijing Ducks vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$9.1
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+77%+$16.96
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+192.8%+$58.61
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$43.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.