TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fujian Sturgeonsof Fujian Sturgeons, Qingdao Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,074 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Qingdao Eagles78c7,211$5,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.232445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Fujian Sturgeons13c3,873$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.423455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Fujian Sturgeons36c2,879$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.426346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ad…2d59backed Fujian Sturgeons24c2,796$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.431931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Qingdao Eagles64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Qingdao Eagles70c1,440$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.992544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Fujian Sturgeons30c1,405$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.9516235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fujian Sturgeons44c1,057$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7916828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Qingdao Eagles59c1,023$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.2128943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Qingdao Eagles39c830.28$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.696144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Qingdao Eagles73c824.58$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.61757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fujian Sturgeons30c792.83$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3712042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Fujian Sturgeons41c773.17$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.2213235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Eagles67c698.78$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6234344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Fujian Sturgeons29c692.81$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.241442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Fujian Sturgeons31c639.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.126237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Qingdao Eagles64c619.27$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.848760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Fujian Sturgeons10c612.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.111838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fujian Sturgeons68c595.94$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Fujian Sturgeons32c581$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.781822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Fujian Sturgeons33c534$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5937052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Fujian Sturgeons49c528$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.786940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Qingdao Eagles67c491.98$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5124430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked Qingdao Eagles72c459.2$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Fujian Sturgeons52c439$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.454533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Qingdao Eagles70c364.45$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0831446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Fujian Sturgeons32c315.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4526935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Qingdao Eagles73c315.07$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Fujian Sturgeons53c287$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.137646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fujian Sturgeons35c273$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2643543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Qingdao Eagles72c261.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Fujian Sturgeons51c227.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Qingdao Eagles72c226.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.391442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fujian Sturgeons64c220.53$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9631651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Qingdao Eagles65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Fujian Sturgeons36c181.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fujian Sturgeons28c175$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Qingdao Eagles71c164.6$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.473953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…efbebacked Fujian Sturgeons31c160.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Qingdao Eagles79c152.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.253271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Fujian Sturgeons42c142.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.525541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fujian Sturgeons35c139$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.534427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Fujian Sturgeons32c136.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9822231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Fujian Sturgeons28c121.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.898845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Qingdao Eagles51c117.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Fujian Sturgeons32c111.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.572231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Fujian Sturgeons33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed17…2d9dbacked Qingdao Eagles19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Qingdao Eagles73c101.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c1…b8fabacked Fujian Sturgeons34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc414…d870backed Qingdao Eagles68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Fujian Sturgeons33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.917341.1%30 W · 43 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Fujian Sturgeons21c90.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Qingdao Eagles12c88.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.660%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Fujian Sturgeons29c86.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.958534.1%29 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Fujian Sturgeons26c85.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.664037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Qingdao Eagles76c84.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.462040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Qingdao Eagles54c74.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.814734%16 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Qingdao Eagles71c73.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.079946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Fujian Sturgeons59c72.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8320936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c2…25e3backed Fujian Sturgeons30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Qingdao Eagles64c66.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Qingdao Eagles48c65.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4825517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Fujian Sturgeons39c61.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Qingdao Eagles64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Qingdao Eagles70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Qingdao Eagles67c59.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+126.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Fujian Sturgeons25c58.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.74229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Fujian Sturgeons36c55.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Qingdao Eagles67c48.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Qingdao Eagles63c47.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Fujian Sturgeons33c47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.269851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Qingdao Eagles71c45.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.131030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Qingdao Eagles73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Qingdao Eagles68c39.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fujian Sturgeons69c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.116061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Qingdao Eagles51c38.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa809…e55dbacked Fujian Sturgeons39c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Fujian Sturgeons44c35.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf7…a5ffbacked Qingdao Eagles70c34.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabda…5456backed Fujian Sturgeons34c31.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Fujian Sturgeons34c31.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Qingdao Eagles56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Fujian Sturgeons37c28.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.226848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Qingdao Eagles70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Qingdao Eagles69c28.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Qingdao Eagles64c28.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Qingdao Eagles72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Fujian Sturgeons42c27.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.77944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…a984backed Qingdao Eagles69c26.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Fujian Sturgeons42c26.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Qingdao Eagles40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1728…62b2backed Fujian Sturgeons64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+47.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f36…b511backed Qingdao Eagles50c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Qingdao Eagles69c22.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.713565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d62…144dbacked Qingdao Eagles62c20.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80d…0c0cbacked Qingdao Eagles66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Qingdao Eagles71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Qingdao Eagles67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Qingdao Eagles70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.