TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd661…2750

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,493
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT88028.9%254 W · 626 L-2.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 880 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.81
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.75
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$60.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$118.92
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.67
Showing 25 of 880 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT35223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 352 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$32.56
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+234.9%+$70.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Showing 25 of 352 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13038.5%50 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$50.09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$333.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$145
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$398.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+691.9%+$2,905.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$68.89
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.75
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.94
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$56.59
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.28
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$96.6
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$32.54
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$42.25
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.64
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+204.4%+$141.4
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$32.09
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+558.5%+$260.98
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.52
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.18
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+302.8%+$90.83
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Shanxi Loongs vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$38.48
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+1,018.8%+$193.92
Qingdao Eagles vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Zhejiang Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$164.55
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$26.1
Shanxi Loongs vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$46.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.01
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$141.09
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$20.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.