Euroleague · resolved market
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey King
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262611c678057af5674dcd1fc7828191a7498be90e439fb6e2ca05e19de710ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinjiang Flying Tigersof Xinjiang Flying Tigers, Nanjing Monkey King
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 10c | 1,126$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nanjing Monkey King | 8c | 724.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 651.87$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nanjing Monkey King | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Nanjing Monkey King | 39c | 497.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 481.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 34c | 475.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 60c | 382.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Nanjing Monkey King | 38c | 351.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 10c | 317.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 64c | 234.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…64b1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 80c | 129.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Nanjing Monkey King | 36c | 123.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Nanjing Monkey King | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 60c | 100.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 84.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 77.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 64c | 55.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…6429backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…6265backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 65c | 27.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 61c | 24.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.