TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09c6…64b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.7
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$53.02
Shymkent: Dali Blanch vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$34.85
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$74.1
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.18
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28%+$205.29
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$136.96
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.96
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$101.78
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$101.38
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$42.68
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$191.47
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
All 6 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$26.37
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$90.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$356.94
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$94.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$28.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$52.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.