Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0efc06a52ceffd95536ffb5383920adc18930c2a637471afa2dc52e3cf4ea7f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 40c | 27,274$10,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,860.26 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 60c | 8,795$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.3 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 4,067$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,899$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 61c | 2,290$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.95 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Yes | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 35c | 1,810$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.55 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,557$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.3 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 47c | 1,518$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.14 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 1,388$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.63 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 51c | 1,142$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.69 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked Yes | 1c | 950.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 864.82$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.93 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed No | 65c | 862.85$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 34c | 848.03$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 62c | 741.73$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 62c | 725.23$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.64 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 689$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.91 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 661.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 64c | 638.62$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 64c | 632.56$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 598.15$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 64c | 587.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 65c | 568.8$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 23c | 559.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 59c | 539.21$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.43 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 60c | 333.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 12c | 332.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 70c | 296.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 25c | 268.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…64b1backed No | 79c | 250.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 44c | 250.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 65c | 247.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 65c | 243.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed No | 63c | 237$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 59c | 226.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 221.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 62c | 220.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 77c | 201.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Yes | 24c | 201.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 38c | 200.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 35c | 200.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 63c | 197.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 38c | 169.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 158.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 8c | 158$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked No | 38c | 152$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 39c | 142.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 125.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…ff10backed No | 65c | 116.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 65c | 116.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 113.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 40c | 103.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 68c | 99.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 60c | 80.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 78.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 62c | 78.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…7cb3backed Yes | 54c | 76.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 43c | 75.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 39c | 72.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 77c | 66.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 77c | 66.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 41c | 66.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 66.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Yes | 64c | 63.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 61c | 63.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5924…e5a0backed Yes | 36c | 52.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 64c | 51.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 46c | 42.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 75c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked No | 72c | 39.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 38.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 38c | 38.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…4973backed No | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 41c | 36.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.