TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes35c40,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.962744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No65c19,795$12,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,928.0823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaf…24f8backed Yes0c9,880$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.25616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes5c5,454$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7114761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No65c3,406$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.9323643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes35c3,336$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No67c3,007$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.888560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No64c2,092$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.3713053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…6609backed Yes34c2,018$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No65c1,785$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes29c1,494$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes32c1,477$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.754420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No66c1,371$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47312661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,346$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.113,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes35c1,306$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.031758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No65c1,273$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4912263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c1,266$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.6919560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c1,187$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.6197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No65c1,175$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes20c1,104$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No73c1,081$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.773450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes33c1,033$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No65c979$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.658547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes4c946.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfd16…649cbacked Yes36c749.22$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c736.27$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed No68c723.43$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.091275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes15c702.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.512030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No65c679.18$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.223461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No66c676.62$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes11c627.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.272552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes38c563.46$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.113339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed No74c518.1$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.916856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No78c506.03$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.371,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes9c485.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes35c430.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No65c399.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.85851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No65c395.52$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No66c391.72$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1416960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No65c391.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No65c391.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes24c390.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.471833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No66c379.74$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.119452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No65c352.44$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3515060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes32c321$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No66c313.38$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1112162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed No65c313.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No65c313.28$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6514459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152330.4%7 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes32c295.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.495326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes23c286.73$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No67c283.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.472955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked No66c267.46$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No65c254.22$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.981450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No65c254.22$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9812254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No65c254.22$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No70c244.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.55448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No69c243$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.64247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes23c241.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7222946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No65c235.01$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2510755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No66c229.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes26c203.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6813518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9454…340bbacked Yes46c196.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c174.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes12c160.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes36c160.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.461942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No67c147.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1622263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161f…86cebacked Yes33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Yes35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.051330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0824326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9810957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No73c120.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes17c118.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No65c117.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No76c117$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Yes22c112.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.428950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes34c104.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.557037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No62c102.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.815458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No59c98.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked No67c87.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Yes20c81.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.964040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No67c78.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No65c78.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4113560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Yes34c76.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.363470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed No67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No66c69.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No79c66.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed No69c66.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No60c64.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No64c61.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4319056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No66c58.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2713557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.