TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf11a…d3e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.71
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.12
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$62.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$189.2
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.11
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.71
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.43
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.5
Will Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$67.06
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.72
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.74
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.38
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$33
Will Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$162.62
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$264.81
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$144.95
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.04
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$53
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$153.69
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.46
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.14
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$83.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$252.56
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.85
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.08
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$153.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.02
All 22 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$202
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$87.89
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.67
Will Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.52
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.99
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.98
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.07
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.45
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.83
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$74.04
Will New York Red Bulls vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$117.09
Will Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.65
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$150.88
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$38.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.27
Will PSV win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.81
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.16
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.24
Will AZ win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$118.13
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.56
Will Vejle BK win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.