TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No69c94,179$64,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,195.4613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes31c77,306$23,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,96511445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c43,605$13,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,515.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No69c18,206$12,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.8416848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No69c12,760$8,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.583971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes31c12,122$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c12,002$8,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,705.951,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked No70c9,399$6,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes31c5,331$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes1c2,977$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.226634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c2,758$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.862,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes1c2,201$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c2,098$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.1974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6206262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52042043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes30c1,639$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.774365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No69c1,605$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.4326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes30c1,597$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes31c1,546$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.35442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes3c1,471$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.13922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Yes31c1,438$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No69c1,343$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.167061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa761…46c1backed Yes2c1,255$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.822128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No70c1,219$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.855251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes2c1,117$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8835428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c1,086$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes3c1,064$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.497327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf23c…de23backed Yes31c1,045$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba5…fc9bbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c999.97$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes32c999.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.983545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.44334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c821.79$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6614658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c799.98$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24846651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No69c715.95$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.947557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No70c655.98$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.798259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes31c587.62$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.162352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes31c552.56$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.293237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed No69c518.09$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.613250%16 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c500.02$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.317959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.316858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes30c488.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes31c465.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.788831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No70c451.72$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c447.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c432.91$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes30c395.82$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.752948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes27c370.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes31c323.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.143043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8612233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes31c306.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.095238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes31c303.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.943135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No69c299.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.514654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c271.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.415255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c260.97$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…b0e8backed Yes30c255.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes33c239.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.185347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes30c230.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x896e…8902backed Yes31c216.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.11741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c195$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.451,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c191.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes31c182.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.647648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed No70c163.72$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.122147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Yes31c157.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No70c156.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.845657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.935028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.936235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Yes31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c151.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1180953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No70c147.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.198666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No70c133.55$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.077247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes30c127.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.321520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes30c111.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010535.2%37 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No69c99.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4939651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c98.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.687524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.466360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes15c97.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3370%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c95.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7413746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Yes31c92.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.762853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Yes31c92.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…8c35backed Yes31c92.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7650%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No69c88.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0948950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes31c86.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.842138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No70c81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No71c78.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.734551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes31c77.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9711636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes27c74.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0813336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1e6…a613backed Yes31c72.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.581546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab0…495ebacked Yes27c70.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.