TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd320…8c35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+59.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+445.7%+$66.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$17.46
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$55.11
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+331.7%+$110.75
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.11
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$80.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$16.95
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$17.87
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+94.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+270.7%+$40.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$7.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.