Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c84e98ead221e64ecbe7be1958be8de3423f1f957f81f93f164c468f867a152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.89 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 42c | 19,549$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.28 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 56c | 10,641$5,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.16 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 7,129$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.08 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 4,128$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.16 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 56c | 3,900$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,429$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 56c | 3,417$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.39 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 44c | 2,638$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.72 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 58c | 1,421$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.34 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 56c | 910.71$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 662.03$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.61 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 37c | 545.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 56c | 471.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 456.41$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 44c | 454.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 36c | 417.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 76c | 378$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 20c | 368.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed No | 56c | 357.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 354.44$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 60c | 336.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 59c | 331.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 58c | 316.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 231.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 55c | 222.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 208$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 192$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 181.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 173$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 169$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 56c | 131.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 59c | 126.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 59c | 119.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 58c | 117.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked No | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 42c | 108.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Yes | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 44c | 90.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 64c | 87.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…72c3backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 78.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 55c | 78.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 67.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 68c | 66.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 56c | 58.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 60c | 50.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.