TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No70c32,586$22,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,647.1277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes31c19,952$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.3427837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes30c16,544$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c14,864$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.7453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c13,230$9,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c6,234$4,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.363,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c5,641$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.1123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes30c3,352$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c3,063$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.3397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c3,040$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.1399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes36c2,706$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.311010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes29c1,578$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.565326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c1,427$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No76c1,161$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c1,155$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes28c1,004$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.121533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes22c1,001$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2213228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes28c729.88$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.371040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20312661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No71c691.65$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes29c672.41$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes18c613.31$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes29c603.45$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No71c552.35$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5314359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No63c552.26$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3311854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c476.82$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No71c467.4$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0720249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No70c414.63$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.461,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes29c412.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c378.65$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8114257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No71c368.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6615748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c354.27$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c344.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes24c318$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.321540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.454139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes18c280$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c267.04$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes30c267$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes21c266.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9710753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes30c264.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3113942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c260$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.416960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Yes29c250$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No70c240$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.26248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No68c237.66$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.054959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No69c218.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.483151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes30c216.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5813158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes23c197.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8920849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No76c192$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.083253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c186.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes20c182.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb1…2bcbbacked Yes29c178.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Yes20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No75c171.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes29c166.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.352722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes28c161$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No71c156.17$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.474369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No63c151$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8712849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.58065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce7…cfaabacked Yes33c143.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes21c141.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No72c139$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.92875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No77c137.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.975259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes29c130.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-69.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c130.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0419560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes32c119.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3926050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No71c116$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.649457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No71c113.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.856847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed No71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.632065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes24c104.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+176.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes29c102.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.852035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No68c102.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.886454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.