TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0999…016e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT13850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.39
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$197.71
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$234.92
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$102.85
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.28
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.49
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$108.34
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$81.04
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$129.99
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$79.62
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.72
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT5860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Abidjan 2: Aziz Dougaz vs Florent Baxbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Abidjan 2: Hamish Stewart vs Blaise Bicknellbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$74.45
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Lajal vs. Sharipov: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.93
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.58
La Bisbal: Aliona Bolsova vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Aliona Bolsova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$119.61
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.58
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.03
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.99
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.82
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$29.02
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manresa vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$115.38
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$212.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.82
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.74
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$128.06
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$556
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$145.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$879.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.