NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d62c7c62908bafb68f9f5aa24212c8a6ca4d4f744b1908c8ddf22fb78b64147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,812,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,657,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,812,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Grizzlies | 11c | 250,290$27,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,531.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Grizzlies | 13c | 195,353$26,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,302.92 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 140,000$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.99 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 26c | 108,230$28,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,531.35 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies | 10c | 99,881$10,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,270.4 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies | 10c | 47,300$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 42,737$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.12 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 40,646$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.39 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 28c | 33,075$9,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,267.97 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies | 12c | 28,665$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.82 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Grizzlies | 14c | 25,629$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 18c | 21,630$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 20,944$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies | 12c | 20,873$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.15 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 56c | 18,717$10,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 77c | 17,179$13,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.74 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 13c | 15,171$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.98 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Grizzlies | 11c | 15,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 14c | 14,887$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.72 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 14,146$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 6c | 13,389$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.22 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 13,308$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.41 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 11,715$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 9c | 10,647$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.26 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies | 0c | 10,414$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 10c | 9,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.93 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cavaliers | 64c | 8,621$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.94 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 8,039$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.47 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 36c | 7,505$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.25 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 7,429$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 16c | 7,078$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.13 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Grizzlies | 10c | 6,558$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.85 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 77c | 6,504$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Cavaliers | 61c | 6,422$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.11 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 6,290$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.44 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Grizzlies | 15c | 6,186$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.04 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Grizzlies | 10c | 5,913$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Grizzlies | 19c | 5,658$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4c…e024backed Grizzlies | 3c | 5,539$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Grizzlies | 11c | 5,400$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Grizzlies | 11c | 5,358$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Cavaliers | 67c | 5,105$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.01 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,939$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Grizzlies | 19c | 4,904$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.64 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,835$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 4,655$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…90f0backed Grizzlies | 11c | 4,640$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 4,624$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…61e3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 4,475$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 4,454$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.46 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Cavaliers | 66c | 4,451$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.84 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 70c | 4,422$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 14c | 4,325$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 4,277$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.27 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Grizzlies | 10c | 4,202$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.17 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Grizzlies | 26c | 4,070$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.31 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Grizzlies | 14c | 3,869$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.61 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Grizzlies | 27c | 3,668$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.31 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…6591backed Grizzlies | 12c | 3,580$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Grizzlies | 5c | 3,537$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 3,430$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Grizzlies | 11c | 3,304$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.46 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…c6c9backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,109$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Cavaliers | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Grizzlies | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Grizzlies | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Grizzlies | 32c | 2,665$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.78 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 2,551$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.43 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…2b9abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,534$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,526$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.1 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…3a8abacked Grizzlies | 26c | 2,472$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.79 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,452$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 2,446$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,369$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 2,349$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.22 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,348$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.72 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Grizzlies | 13c | 2,265$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 2,265$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Cavaliers | 68c | 2,222$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.04 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,212$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.72 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,195$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Cavaliers | 70c | 2,100$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Cavaliers | 69c | 2,098$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.65 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8ef3backed Grizzlies | 5c | 2,014$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8202…0714backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 1,994$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.76 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,973$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…c394backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…2233backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,884$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,848$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,709$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,693$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Grizzlies | 21c | 1,641$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.