TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Over45c18,195$8,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,018.244753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed Over46c7,067$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,845.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under50c5,529$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.3614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c5,096$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c4,487$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.971,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x244a…07c8backed Over46c4,308$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over36c4,009$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Over49c3,854$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Over48c3,373$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.741844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c3,127$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Over49c3,061$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c2,915$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.161,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over35c2,764$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.522,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c2,676$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked Over46c2,612$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e3…d750backed Under64c2,419$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over49c2,315$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.518948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb09e…17d6backed Over49c2,030$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over51c1,989$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.377647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over49c1,852$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.682040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef99…1565backed Over47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under51c1,798$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.917236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under55c1,781$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.7529849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under49c1,781$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.4612240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c1,699$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c1,563$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.2390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under55c1,563$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.2358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c1,531$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.781,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c1,531$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.781,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under65c1,495$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.811,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…6584backed Over49c1,439$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over35c1,425$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,184$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6969…d1b9backed Over50c1,076$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e43…5a67backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfca2…9488backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf376…b135backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…2fe3backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under12c990.79$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0818835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c838.38$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Over49c823.6$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.045330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under55c714.35$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8910252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over34c639.8$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.271,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under54c638.36$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7142352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over39c608$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over35c549.12$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.936046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under14c545.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.551,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under55c542.33$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c479.9$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Over48c444.6$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over50c439.32$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over43c438.83$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Over48c434.6$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over50c433.32$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.661741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over66c309$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.771,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over49c305.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7310943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over37c288.73$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.271,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over34c222.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8314640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12314640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over49c205.51$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8116249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over49c205.51$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8113352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c185.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c175.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over67c162.48$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c155.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under7c143.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over51c133.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2811354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under53c122.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.215154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c108$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1636749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over35c103.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2913052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over44c103.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9122351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under52c98.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.518054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over45c92.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0611050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6232450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Over47c89.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.267052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over43c88.28$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under55c87.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.881,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c82.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c76.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under51c76.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8226824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7140750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c75.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over44c75.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.216842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Over49c69.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Under57c69.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4311355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under57c68.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9714444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over34c67.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over44c61.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6436153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under61c58.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.435,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under57c58.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3212558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.