NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d1547dad1f76d177327a953de2ec3453037aacce379d0fc68e62a7984ecc80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 86,376$48,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,433.95 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Cavaliers | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 52c | 32,176$16,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,588.74 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Grizzlies | 56c | 19,530$10,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,937.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 48c | 17,833$8,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240.39 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,730$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 45c | 6,224$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 5,798$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,685$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,112$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.34 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,627$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.51 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Cavaliers | 43c | 2,488$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.42 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,413$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.89 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,364$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.19 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,272$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.7 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,053$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.88 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,927$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 35c | 1,827$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,750$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.92 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 30c | 1,597$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.26 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,363$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.55 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,363$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.55 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,248$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,230$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.56 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,225$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 63c | 1,168$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,163$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.65 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,156$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,120$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.49 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,071$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…c422backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Cavaliers | 47c | 995$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.09 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Cavaliers | 44c | 878.55$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 844.5$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 835$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Cavaliers | 46c | 801.49$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 45c | 674.39$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 651.05$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 601.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.65 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 578.84$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.79 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 52c | 549.81$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 545.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 36c | 511.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 500.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.37 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 46c | 459.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Grizzlies | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Grizzlies | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Cavaliers | 22c | 418.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 387.57$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Grizzlies | 52c | 367.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Grizzlies | 55c | 353.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Grizzlies | 56c | 348.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grizzlies | 7c | 345.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Cavaliers | 45c | 343.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 321.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 306.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grizzlies | 7c | 295$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 293.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 265.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Grizzlies | 57c | 265.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 261.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Grizzlies | 54c | 205.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cavaliers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 187.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Grizzlies | 7c | 187$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Grizzlies | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Cavaliers | 45c | 160.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Cavaliers | 45c | 146.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Grizzlies | 53c | 145.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 142.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…27e5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 139.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 131.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Grizzlies | 56c | 129.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers | 32c | 127.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Grizzlies | 54c | 123.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Cavaliers | 51c | 122.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Cavaliers | 46c | 121.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies | 54c | 114.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 113.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 108.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Cavaliers | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Grizzlies | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 98.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Grizzlies | 50c | 97.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.