NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7640f1f31600fc536e6a312e270afe91bb1cdd5498c7f8c0ffefaf778c8e973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 48c | 5,931$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.84 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 4,757$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 4,664$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 3,027$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.92 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,141$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 55c | 1,812$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.45 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,426$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,424$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.99 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 869.79$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 44c | 858.39$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 520.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.17 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 457.35$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 445.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 426.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.66 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 422.03$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 199.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 186.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 8c | 171.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 132.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 114.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 95.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 43c | 72.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 54c | 72.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 26c | 72.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 56c | 71.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 56c | 71.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 69.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 56c | 64.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 62.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…54adbacked Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 56c | 51.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 66c | 44.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…52c0backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 36.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 67c | 36.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 35.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…a913backed Over | 45c | 27.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 45c | 27.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 24.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 62c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.