NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256da71dc5b7de23a26b8671cad9f811f2754380f451b9d164aa2216aebf5ca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 9,819$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 50c | 6,957$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 5,827$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.14 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Under | 52c | 4,856$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 4,006$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 3,760$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,757$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 58c | 2,497$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.57 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 1,603$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.47 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 56c | 1,475$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.28 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,268$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 45c | 1,115$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,103$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 44c | 1,087$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.83 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Over | 43c | 965.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 651.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 46c | 639.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 57c | 561.09$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 51c | 434$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 318.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 12c | 310.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 285.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 57c | 247.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 48c | 212$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 57c | 196.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 45c | 179.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 141.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 43c | 134.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 125.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 39c | 113.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 39c | 113.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 53c | 111.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 102.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 78.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 73.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 58c | 72.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 71.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 58c | 71.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 71.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 71.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 58c | 71.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 71.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 22c | 58.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 57c | 57.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 21c | 56.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Over | 42c | 48.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 56c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 36.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 57c | 34.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 54c | 32.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Over | 42c | 29.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 53c | 29.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +11.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 27.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 42c | 27.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 56c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 43c | 23.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…0d0dbacked Under | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 47c | 22.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…16c3backed Over | 51c | 21.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 59c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2e8abacked Under | 59c | 20.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.