NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9d28ac1820a8686e6ebe237a1c714302d722c99b5d832391f437b9f08db59d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 179,576$91,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,992.19 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 50c | 125,688$63,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,380.1 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 48c | 115,179$55,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,893.25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 49c | 65,916$32,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,298.73 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 52c | 50,502$26,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,261.25 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 51c | 25,353$12,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,930.13 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 50c | 24,568$12,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,311.79 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 21,969$10,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,204 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 16,422$8,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,046.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 49c | 12,644$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195.36 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 49c | 11,301$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.25 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Over | 48c | 9,776$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.11 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 8,068$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.81 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 7,665$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…a822backed Over | 48c | 7,231$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…0934backed Under | 52c | 6,781$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 6,157$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.96 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 36c | 5,658$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 50c | 5,005$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.6 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 4,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 4,233$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 49c | 4,046$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.49 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 3,934$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 3,760$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 52c | 3,733$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,356$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 2,704$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.04 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b5afbacked Over | 49c | 2,572$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Over | 48c | 2,444$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 2,422$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.91 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 2,422$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 2,422$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.91 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 50c | 2,257$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 1,942$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.45 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 50c | 1,939$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 51c | 1,752$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.3 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 51c | 1,592$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.27 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 48c | 1,588$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.69 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,584$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.59 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 1,521$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 51c | 1,112$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.63 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 1,079$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.35 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 50c | 1,053$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.67 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,018$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 1,011$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.37 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 49c | 997.98$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.01 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 52c | 985.77$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.6 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 49c | 974.26$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.53 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 51c | 918.23$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 893.23$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.48 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Under | 50c | 892.4$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 65c | 859.29$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 805.11$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 800.59$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.99 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 49c | 783.67$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.88 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 43c | 647.76$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 640.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 636.15$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a91…249fbacked Under | 32c | 596.12$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 577.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 552.53$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.91 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 531.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.82 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 60c | 525.93$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 473.5$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 448.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 439.11$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 424.54$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 395.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Under | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 50c | 380.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 51c | 349.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…ae6dbacked Under | 53c | 320.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 318.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 48c | 317.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 48c | 317.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 8c | 305.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 264.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 35c | 263.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 70c | 263.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…cf73backed Under | 52c | 261.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 51c | 256.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 242.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 240.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 70c | 217.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 215.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.