TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$620,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$630,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c243,867$128,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,017.9887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c220,990$117,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,865.3620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under47c128,314$60,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,307.7124650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under47c113,391$53,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,293.5829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under47c46,816$22,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,003.4770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under47c42,336$19,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,897.9228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under47c23,465$11,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,028.7716039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under47c20,431$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.6120948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c19,338$9,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,088.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c18,293$9,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,570.371,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c15,294$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c13,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2408839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c11,307$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.0724045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over53c10,890$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,149.2117055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under49c9,183$4,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,496.619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c8,778$4,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c8,695$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c8,283$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under46c6,685$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.8726253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c6,498$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.024,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c6,270$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over54c5,947$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.4112257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under49c5,761$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.557852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c5,456$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under49c3,897$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.1314946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1322…0934backed Under49c2,280$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under49c2,233$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.0120051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9205446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under47c1,970$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.0219650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under47c1,960$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.224151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c1,701$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c1,350$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under50c1,200$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c1,193$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c1,068$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Under48c1,016$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c957.38$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.121,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c954.86$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over53c916.78$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Over53c822.24$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.999454.3%51 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c788.07$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c631.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c593.27$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.71,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c592.85$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c591.24$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over54c543.75$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.098155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c539.88$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.351,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3732450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c448.52$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.081,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under49c442.66$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c442.5$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.252,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under48c438.11$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.734214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c395.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c386.74$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over53c385.73$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2919550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under48c366.93$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.137052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c339.15$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c311.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.111,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c295.08$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.452,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over58c266.56$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4418835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under48c258.91$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…426abacked Under47c215.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under47c210.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9216242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.822748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c197.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.981,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6515252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c173.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Over53c170.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.884755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8040…5c8abacked Under46c166.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.143638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Over53c156.66$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.576960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over49c154.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8138242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c147.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under41c147.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under48c138.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over54c137.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0729352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under13c131.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7721243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under47c130.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9847852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over53c130.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8616053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c128.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under39c122.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.186543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under46c121.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Under49c120.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.787164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c114.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under49c113.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8626450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c113.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under46c109.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4814640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under46c101.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under48c101.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4410436.5%38 W · 66 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over54c99.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.041,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over59c99.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Over52c98.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.512369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c96.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.