NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d421c1ae5daf339c340e02b6be385ad9dab7aae0996aa7aae2527ff95f72ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 243,867$128,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,017.98 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 220,990$117,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,865.36 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 128,314$60,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,307.71 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 47c | 113,391$53,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,293.58 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 47c | 46,816$22,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,003.47 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 47c | 42,336$19,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,897.92 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 47c | 23,465$11,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,028.77 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 47c | 20,431$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.61 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 19,338$9,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,088.6 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 18,293$9,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,570.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 15,294$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,249.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 50c | 11,307$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.07 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 53c | 10,890$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.21 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 9,183$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.6 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 8,778$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 8,695$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,283$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 46c | 6,685$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.87 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 6,498$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 6,270$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 54c | 5,947$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.41 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 5,761$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.55 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 5,456$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 49c | 3,897$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.13 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…0934backed Under | 49c | 2,280$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 49c | 2,233$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.01 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 47c | 1,970$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.02 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 47c | 1,960$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.2 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 48c | 1,701$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.5 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 1,350$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.68 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 1,200$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 1,193$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.54 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 49c | 1,068$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.68 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Under | 48c | 1,016$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 957.38$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.12 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 954.86$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.88 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 53c | 916.78$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Over | 53c | 822.24$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.99 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 788.07$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.16 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 631.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 593.27$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 592.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.89 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 591.24$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 54c | 543.75$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 539.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 448.52$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 442.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 442.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 48c | 438.11$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.73 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 395.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 386.74$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 53c | 385.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Under | 48c | 366.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 339.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 46c | 311.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 295.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 58c | 266.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 258.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…426abacked Under | 47c | 215.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 47c | 210.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 197.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 173.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Over | 53c | 170.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8040…5c8abacked Under | 46c | 166.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 53c | 156.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 154.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 147.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 147.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 48c | 138.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 54c | 137.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 13c | 131.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 47c | 130.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 53c | 130.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 128.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Under | 39c | 122.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 121.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Under | 49c | 120.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 114.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 49c | 113.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 46c | 109.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 46c | 101.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 48c | 101.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 54c | 99.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 59c | 99.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Over | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 96.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.