TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6265…0d9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.85
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$339.14
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.68
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.68
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.48
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62.58
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.52
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.49
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$71.82
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$143.02
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62.58
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$175.91
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$39.64
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.76
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+99%+$99.86
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.71
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.46
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.13
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$229.88
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.79
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.49
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$524.9
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.8
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.93
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$43.05
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.17
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54.89
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73%+$213.7
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$155.36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$148.2
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.48
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.39
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.44
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.4
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.83
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.61
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$94.26
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$228.64
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.02
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.53
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$60.06
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.23
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.37
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.46
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.71
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.64
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.75
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156.08
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$190.51
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$154.45
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.87
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$172.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$4,706.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$167
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.