TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c8,578$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under65c8,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under38c3,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.961,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over80c2,507$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6924159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over39c2,035$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.9720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under18c1,203$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.466141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under5c1,041$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c690.24$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.051,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under60c686.03$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Under37c631.86$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.442642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under43c499.51$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.791,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under21c433.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under5c416$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf752…101cbacked Under63c399.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c378.3$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under29c341.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under66c339.73$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over37c247.32$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…5fbfbacked Under63c244.16$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over48c234$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.684254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c230.28$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.221,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under63c220.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over41c219.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5118853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over40c218.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Under63c202.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.418155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over37c197.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.717153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under61c162.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Under64c160.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Under63c158.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under66c151.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3c0…aa95backed Under63c150.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over34c147.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under64c142.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under36c140.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over38c131.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5310757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c121.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under10c107.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.765536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4732952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed Under51c99.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Over45c93.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under20c79.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.165129.4%15 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over75c78.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under23c74.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.44736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Over39c73.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.642744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over37c66.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1455444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Under61c64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Under63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over45c63.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8911364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5541…6160backed Under50c60.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over39c59.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5910548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over36c54.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8824841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c54.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c53.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0910944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c1…74a9backed Under63c52.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over37c51.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under61c49.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4911057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c47.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under64c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under26c44.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.515648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Under62c39.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce5c…41f3backed Under62c39.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.532454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…5703backed Over40c37.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.866100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c36.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Under69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c35.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over65c35.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3416369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8852…0cdabacked Under61c32.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x798c…e64cbacked Over67c29.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.764748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1c…aa0abacked Over40c27.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under60c27.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over49c25.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0515044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked Under63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over43c23.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c22.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under46c22.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3216429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…e407backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…154cbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over74c19.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0314464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.