TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks57c22,797$12,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,834.9528056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs44c13,431$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.8556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs51c9,163$4,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,672.552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks49c7,744$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.2810944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks50c7,364$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs18c5,555$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8616633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks66c5,496$3,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs49c5,373$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.625349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks47c5,018$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks56c3,924$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.981,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks55c3,011$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.941,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Spurs32c2,996$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.876336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks63c2,958$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs41c2,228$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.561,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs33c2,217$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.5210049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Spurs33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.976341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs44c1,980$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9512451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3067…a44cbacked Spurs44c1,960$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs53c1,861$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.16038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs42c1,808$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.1321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Knicks48c1,797$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.634452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks61c1,780$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.7352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Knicks68c1,572$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.228765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs3c1,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9916429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Spurs50c1,226$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.4312652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs30c1,187$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks69c1,030$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks52c975.23$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.494946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Spurs34c969.61$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.676053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs53c930.42$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs33c663.66$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4891…2a07backed Knicks48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs49c624.49$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30662948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Knicks50c589.06$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1913641.9%57 W · 79 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Spurs33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs44c473.06$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.871,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs44c448$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Knicks67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks74c447.02$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs53c442.66$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs53c433.71$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Spurs41c367.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.327553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs53c354.12$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.684961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs53c347.17$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1847152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Spurs37c340$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.823461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cad…341dbacked Knicks59c339.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.583158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs52c303.29$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Spurs33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Spurs33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks68c300.51$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x717a…2d34backed Spurs34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks66c277.85$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs39c262.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs34c258.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs37c251.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7222753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs45c244$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.81,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks66c238.05$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Knicks68c232.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.353151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs33c223.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.081,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Spurs53c221.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.34161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Spurs53c221.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.184161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Spurs53c220.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.014158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Spurs53c220.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5918853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Spurs38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs41c207.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Knicks54c206.68$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6610757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Spurs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Knicks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks67c198$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Spurs37c168$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.484663%29 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks58c166.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Spurs34c162.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.231560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs40c160.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2712150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Spurs34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Spurs50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7153945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Spurs36c137.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Spurs44c135.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.423066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs49c126.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Knicks67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs43c112.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7337652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Spurs52c107.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.671553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Knicks48c105.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3739552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Spurs34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1dd…a272backed Spurs33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Spurs33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3337037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Knicks57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs53c98.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.