NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a37f42a98f7e1b12439c8dbea48ee9d9242496b87b1d1ba8ab28103d48a8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Knicks | 78c | 3,156$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.41 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 22c | 2,814$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.01 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 72c | 2,008$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 22c | 1,479$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 14c | 1,198$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 72c | 915.05$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Spurs | 22c | 840.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs | 33c | 804.21$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.29 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Knicks | 78c | 609.23$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 80c | 541.71$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Knicks | 78c | 445.45$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks | 69c | 425.67$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Spurs | 20c | 266.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Spurs | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 34c | 221.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Spurs | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 23c | 213.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Knicks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.29per pick | 34cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 21c | 166.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…4fc6backed Spurs | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Spurs | 27c | 100.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Knicks | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 78c | 97.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Spurs | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…72c1backed Spurs | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 69c | 81.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Spurs | 24c | 73.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Knicks | 71c | 70.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Spurs | 25c | 69.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 78c | 63.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Knicks | 64c | 63.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Spurs | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Knicks | 77c | 54.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Knicks | 69c | 44.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…6af2backed Spurs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 77c | 40.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Knicks | 66c | 39.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 75c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Knicks | 78c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…7503backed Knicks | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…f880backed Knicks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…4e1cbacked Knicks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Knicks | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Knicks | 78c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Knicks | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Knicks | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.