TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks55c14,415$7,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,424.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs66c11,000$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,259.9885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs41c8,320$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.8964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks21c4,644$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.6993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs34c3,969$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.471,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs51c3,901$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.355349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks63c3,177$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks50c3,100$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.6955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs38c2,925$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.611,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks57c2,336$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks63c2,034$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks35c2,029$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Knicks51c1,964$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks46c1,934$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.381,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks57c1,869$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.131,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks46c1,820$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.041,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks67c1,765$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs36c1,734$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.5525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Spurs37c1,644$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+110.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs54c1,086$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.314330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3067…a44cbacked Knicks42c1,019$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks51c1,015$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.318439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs35c999.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks64c940.63$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks55c933.17$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs48c901.2$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.071,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks64c720$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks78c700.18$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks45c697.77$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Spurs36c691.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa955…55d4backed Knicks66c673.39$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Spurs31c645$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.956543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs23c611.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.636141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks33c594.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.127152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Spurs51c583.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs34c579.83$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1411333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Spurs37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea17…c4f5backed Knicks57c529.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs77c529.33$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs65c521.53$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85b…a848backed Spurs55c474.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks64c454.85$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a1…3e3dbacked Spurs48c450$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+112.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks65c447.43$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5625554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks37c408$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.22,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Spurs40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11110747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Spurs34c299.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Spurs36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.082536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs45c277.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Knicks57c263.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3210757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs36c200.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Knicks68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Spurs36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7e…857ebacked Spurs37c193.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Spurs37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd06…d1f3backed Knicks49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks64c161.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5411258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Knicks63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7322053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Knicks41c157.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.523461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9808…3cccbacked Knicks64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks59c153.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks66c151.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.862060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks64c149.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks58c137.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.97360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks31c136.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks41c134.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs45c125.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks64c122.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs37c122.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8722753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed Knicks65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks64c118.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs37c116.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs37c116.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Knicks71c116$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.642532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks64c110.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks66c107.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6812055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Spurs47c105.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks64c103.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5119548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Knicks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs17c99.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks59c98.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Knicks69c97.7$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs41c95.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks37c95.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks54c94.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs41c92.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.123946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs33c90.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.899853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.