TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9808…3ccc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7372.6%53 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$10.7
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$5.95
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$23.8
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.89
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27%+$26.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.88
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11.38
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$19.93
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$42.93
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$57.11
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$114.59
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$29.77
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$12.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+131%+$132.32
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$10.51
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.