WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38fa0766e34fb6c3a5504c58bec86721cbd93bb1eeda53d94a119314042f2727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Seattle Storm, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Portland Fire | 52c | 5,167$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,861$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.39 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 308.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Portland Fire | 53c | 277.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 276$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 214.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…72b0backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Portland Fire | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Portland Fire | 78c | 169.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Storm | 26c | 154.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Portland Fire | 53c | 151.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 68c | 129.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 83.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 80.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 49.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Portland Fire | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7aa0backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Portland Fire | 53c | 30.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 29.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Portland Fire | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…1c91backed Portland Fire | 49c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)this page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.