WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647e6ac9c883e16d575043ab688b4096e56d7b14538b70225e7fb7cdc6742a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 32c | 2,379$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.86 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,465$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.88 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 54c | 1,381$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.69 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,096$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.85 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 980.03$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.61 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 44c | 665.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 640.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.14 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 77c | 521.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 28c | 389.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 322$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 70c | 284.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 279.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 277.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 21c | 214.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 33c | 181.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Over | 8c | 175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 158.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 51c | 153.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 117$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…7fd5backed Over | 52c | 96.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 46c | 93.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 90.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 64c | 77.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 67.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Over | 59c | 26.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5this page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.