WNBA · resolved market
Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb347c14370eaf6a4ecae5e374d6b2f97cb2d563cc2889c3a65dbfa7c99341090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x383c…325ebacked Yes | 45c | 443.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…968dbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…4d13backed Yes | 36c | 201.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed No | 66c | 95.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed No | 58c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 66c | 46.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed No | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…d5f3backed Yes | 32c | 40.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5this page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.