WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf5825edd8cbe674152fc24463bdd39c31442b7dc32eccd2c02bc22144bc02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 52c | 9,340$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.23 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 8,888$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.13 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 22c | 2,444$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.22 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 2,013$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.58 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 1,674$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.22 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,550$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 54c | 1,533$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,297$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.18 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 52c | 747.1$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 683.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.13 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 69c | 586.58$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 567.31$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 489.44$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 426.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 257.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 58c | 172.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 55c | 136.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 54c | 113$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 80c | 79.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 49c | 77.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 61.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 54c | 57.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Over | 30c | 50.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 32.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 55c | 32.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…7d74backed Under | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 51c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5this page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.