WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e83cfb6b8e1a98e0fd3e2ff0a84f148443c689ebee6fb561afb8900e22ae67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 50c | 11,834$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.05 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 4,800$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 4,122$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.84 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 51c | 2,082$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.94 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 16c | 1,604$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 1,267$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.42 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 1,148$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,039$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 53c | 716.84$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 679$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 604.48$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 591.25$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.27 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 7c | 575$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Over | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 4c | 493$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 53c | 487.59$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.59 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 62c | 481.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 53c | 460.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 409$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Under | 49c | 392.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 52c | 318.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 267.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 48c | 258.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 252$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 229.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 226.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 76c | 196$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Over | 11c | 182.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 41c | 152.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 74c | 151.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Under | 49c | 143.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 130.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 78c | 126.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 47c | 124$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 119.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 52c | 115.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 112.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 105.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 81.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 50c | 74.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 67.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 54.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 34c | 48.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Over | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 48c | 38.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 65c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 23.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…0c16backed Under | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…dbe7backed Over | 49c | 22.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5this page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.