WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92430161e758c5c279909d34eb04f7095ff6571b7415ba4a665d55978102a5e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 10,697$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.21 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 49c | 6,608$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.05 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 50c | 3,206$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 2,285$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 12c | 1,848$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 1,045$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 849.07$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.04 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 50c | 735.38$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 730$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 52c | 730$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 415.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 256$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 234$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 216$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 50c | 187.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Under | 57c | 176.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 137.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 135.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 51c | 118.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 102.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…6984backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 50c | 53.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Under | 64c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 61c | 27.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 25.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 51c | 22.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5this page
- Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle StormPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 179.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)Portland Fire won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.